By: LT Profits Sports Group
Detroit Lions -1 (-123) over Minnesota Vikings: The Lions got off to a slow start as they opened the season at 1-3 before their bye week in Week 5. However, that bye allowed some injured players to heal and come back on defense, and Detroit has been a different team since while going 3-1 straight up and a perfect 4-0 against the spread! That leveled the Lions’ records at 4-4, and if the NFL: season ended today, the Vikings and the Seattle Seahawks would be tied for the final playoff spot in the NFC at 5-4 with the Lions sitting one-half game back, making this a humongous game for the Lions in terms of their playoff chances, especially since they lost the first head-to-head meeting with the Vikings this season back in Detroit in Week 4. These are two teams heading in opposite directions as Minnesota is now coming back to earth after an unrealistic 4-1 start, losing three of its last four games, and after allowing 435 passing yards to Russell Wilson and Josh Freeman the last two games, the Vikings must now deal with a hot Matthew Stafford. And perhaps the biggest blow is that Percy Harvin, who does practically everything except sell popcorn for the Vikings, is extremely doubtful for this contest after spraining his ankle in three places in Seattle last week. Look for the Lions to both get their revenge and quite possibly save their season.
Dallas Cowboys -1 (-121) over Philadelphia Eagles: Welcome to the Underachievers Bowl, where the loser of this contest between two teams with 3-5 records with probably be dead and buried until next season, and quite possibly be playing under a different coach too. It is rather remarkable that these two teams are a combined 1-7 over the last four games, with the Cowboys going 1-3 and the Eagles on a four-game losing streak. However, Dallas has looked like the better team and has at least been competitive, and vs. good competition too. Taking a look at the Cowboys’ four games since their bye in Week 5, first they went on the road and lost 31-29 to the Baltimore Ravens, failing on a two-point conversion after their last touchdown. Then after recording the only win by either of these two teams the last four games vs. improving Carolina, Dallas overcame a 23-0 deficit vs. the New York Giants to take a 24-23 lead, only to lose 29-24 when what was originally called a game-winning touchdown pass in the final seconds was overturned by replay. Then last week, the Cowboys went back on the road and took the undefeated Atlanta Falcons down to the wire in a 19-13 defeat. Conversely, the Eagles are showing no signs of a pulse after making a dreadful New Orleans Saints defense look respectable in a 28-13 loss Monday night, and truth be told, Philadelphia is four points away from being 0-8 this year, as that is the total amount of points its three wins have been by!
St. Louis Rams, San Francisco 49ers ‘over’ 38½ (-107): Both of these teams are coming off of bye weeks, so this might be a higher scoring game than this low total suggests with the added preparation time. The 49ers still have one of the best defenses in the NFL, but they also showed great improvement on offense until a 26-3 home loss to the Giants that set them back a bit in the final weeks before the bye, although they did win the last two games 13-6 over the Seattle Seahawks at home and 24-3 over the Arizona Cardinals on the road. The running game did not do much vs. Arizona last game though, as the Niners were saved by a near flawless performance by quarterback Alex Smith, who completed 18-of-19 passes for 232 yards and three touchdowns. San Francisco still leads the NFL with 168.4 rushing yards per game and 5.6 yards per carry, so look for the running game to improve with the two weeks off and Smith is usually at his best when the run is clicking. The big news for the Rams is that the extra time off now has wide receiver Danny Amendola healthy enough to play after breaking his clavicle in Week 5, and he was leading the NFL in receptions with 32 in four games when he went down. Look for Amendola to be the recipient of many quick passes from the slot as quarterback Sam Bradford looks to beat the great San Francisco pass rush.
Houston Texans, Chicago Bears ‘under’ 41 (-117): This is one of the more marquee matchups in the NFL this season based on the records of the teams. So which team will go to 8-1 and which will fall to 7-2 when this contest is over? Frankly, that can be debated wither way, but one thing that we are fairly certain of is that both defenses should dictate what happens in this game. The Bears rank second in the NFL in scoring defense at 15.0 points per game, and they rank sixth in total defense at 318.1 yards per contest. Furthermore, it seems that most of the points and yards that Chicago has given up have come in garbage time with a safe lead, such as Chris Johnson of the Tennessee Titans scoring on an 80-yard touchdown run last week with the Bears leading 51-12 at the time. The strength of the Bears is run defense, and if they can contain Arian Foster, it would make the Houston offense less effective. The Texans’ defense is not to be scoffed at either is it is tied for third in scoring defense at 17.1 points and is also ranked third in total defense at a scant 286.1 yards. Moreover, the Chicago offense has not really been that difficult to stop this year with the Bears ranking a mere 25th in total offense at 324.4 yards per game. The only reason that Chicago is averaging 29.5 points is because it amazingly has eight defensive touchdowns in eight games, which cannot be counted on to continue.
Here is a 5-Pack of NFL plays for this Sunday to build your bankroll, highlighted by the Texans vs. Bears night game
We have now arrived at Week 10 of the NFL season, and that means that we once again have another 5-Pack of NFL picks for this Sunday, highlighted by the 7-1 Houston Texans visiting the 7-1 Chicago Bears on Sunday Night Football.
As has been documented many times elsewhere, last week was the worst bloodbath in ages for the sportsbooks with so many publicly backed favorites covering the spread, and this week got off to another bad start for the books with the heavily supported Indianapolis Colts beating the Jacksonville Jaguars handily on Thursday night 27-10 as scant -3 favorites. The contest did stay ‘under’ the total, which closed at 44.
Moving on to our Sunday 5-Pack for Week 10, as we have three sides including two road favorites, so we hope that the recent success of the road chalk carries over to those two plays (but not to our third side), and we also have two totals. As usual, all NFL odds come from Pinnacle Sports.
Carolina Panthers +3½ (+101) over Denver Broncos: This is the one game where we are bucking the road favorite this week. The Broncos are coming off of a 31-23 win at Cincinnati while covering as a road favorite, which as you know by now was a familiar refrain last week. However, this is a treacherous scheduling spot for the Broncos, as they are now favored over a non-conference opponent in what looks like a probable “breather” for them, as they have two division games coming up next beginning with a huge game vs. the San Diego Chargers next week that could ultimately decide the AFC West title. Besides, the Panthers have shown marked improvement in recent weeks, andCarolina was finally rewarded with its second win of the season 21-13 over the Washington Redskins last Sunday. The Panthers nearly upset two juggernauts in the weeks prior to that, losing to the 7-1 Chicago Bears 23-22 while leading most of the game and to the 8-0 Atlanta Falcons 30-28 on a field goal with one second remaining. In fact, while Carolina is 2-6, five of the six losses were by six points or less with the only blowout loss coming vs. the New York Giants in a Thursday night game. The improved Panthers’ defense is allowing 17.8 points per game in the last four contests.
As has been documented many times elsewhere, last week was the worst bloodbath in ages for the sportsbooks with so many publicly backed favorites covering the spread, and this week got off to another bad start for the books with the heavily supported Indianapolis Colts beating the Jacksonville Jaguars handily on Thursday night 27-10 as scant -3 favorites. The contest did stay ‘under’ the total, which closed at 44.
Moving on to our Sunday 5-Pack for Week 10, as we have three sides including two road favorites, so we hope that the recent success of the road chalk carries over to those two plays (but not to our third side), and we also have two totals. As usual, all NFL odds come from Pinnacle Sports.
Carolina Panthers +3½ (+101) over Denver Broncos: This is the one game where we are bucking the road favorite this week. The Broncos are coming off of a 31-23 win at Cincinnati while covering as a road favorite, which as you know by now was a familiar refrain last week. However, this is a treacherous scheduling spot for the Broncos, as they are now favored over a non-conference opponent in what looks like a probable “breather” for them, as they have two division games coming up next beginning with a huge game vs. the San Diego Chargers next week that could ultimately decide the AFC West title. Besides, the Panthers have shown marked improvement in recent weeks, andCarolina was finally rewarded with its second win of the season 21-13 over the Washington Redskins last Sunday. The Panthers nearly upset two juggernauts in the weeks prior to that, losing to the 7-1 Chicago Bears 23-22 while leading most of the game and to the 8-0 Atlanta Falcons 30-28 on a field goal with one second remaining. In fact, while Carolina is 2-6, five of the six losses were by six points or less with the only blowout loss coming vs. the New York Giants in a Thursday night game. The improved Panthers’ defense is allowing 17.8 points per game in the last four contests.Detroit Lions -1 (-123) over Minnesota Vikings: The Lions got off to a slow start as they opened the season at 1-3 before their bye week in Week 5. However, that bye allowed some injured players to heal and come back on defense, and Detroit has been a different team since while going 3-1 straight up and a perfect 4-0 against the spread! That leveled the Lions’ records at 4-4, and if the NFL: season ended today, the Vikings and the Seattle Seahawks would be tied for the final playoff spot in the NFC at 5-4 with the Lions sitting one-half game back, making this a humongous game for the Lions in terms of their playoff chances, especially since they lost the first head-to-head meeting with the Vikings this season back in Detroit in Week 4. These are two teams heading in opposite directions as Minnesota is now coming back to earth after an unrealistic 4-1 start, losing three of its last four games, and after allowing 435 passing yards to Russell Wilson and Josh Freeman the last two games, the Vikings must now deal with a hot Matthew Stafford. And perhaps the biggest blow is that Percy Harvin, who does practically everything except sell popcorn for the Vikings, is extremely doubtful for this contest after spraining his ankle in three places in Seattle last week. Look for the Lions to both get their revenge and quite possibly save their season.Dallas Cowboys -1 (-121) over Philadelphia Eagles: Welcome to the Underachievers Bowl, where the loser of this contest between two teams with 3-5 records with probably be dead and buried until next season, and quite possibly be playing under a different coach too. It is rather remarkable that these two teams are a combined 1-7 over the last four games, with the Cowboys going 1-3 and the Eagles on a four-game losing streak. However, Dallas has looked like the better team and has at least been competitive, and vs. good competition too. Taking a look at the Cowboys’ four games since their bye in Week 5, first they went on the road and lost 31-29 to the Baltimore Ravens, failing on a two-point conversion after their last touchdown. Then after recording the only win by either of these two teams the last four games vs. improving Carolina, Dallas overcame a 23-0 deficit vs. the New York Giants to take a 24-23 lead, only to lose 29-24 when what was originally called a game-winning touchdown pass in the final seconds was overturned by replay. Then last week, the Cowboys went back on the road and took the undefeated Atlanta Falcons down to the wire in a 19-13 defeat. Conversely, the Eagles are showing no signs of a pulse after making a dreadful New Orleans Saints defense look respectable in a 28-13 loss Monday night, and truth be told, Philadelphia is four points away from being 0-8 this year, as that is the total amount of points its three wins have been by!St. Louis Rams, San Francisco 49ers ‘over’ 38½ (-107): Both of these teams are coming off of bye weeks, so this might be a higher scoring game than this low total suggests with the added preparation time. The 49ers still have one of the best defenses in the NFL, but they also showed great improvement on offense until a 26-3 home loss to the Giants that set them back a bit in the final weeks before the bye, although they did win the last two games 13-6 over the Seattle Seahawks at home and 24-3 over the Arizona Cardinals on the road. The running game did not do much vs. Arizona last game though, as the Niners were saved by a near flawless performance by quarterback Alex Smith, who completed 18-of-19 passes for 232 yards and three touchdowns. San Francisco still leads the NFL with 168.4 rushing yards per game and 5.6 yards per carry, so look for the running game to improve with the two weeks off and Smith is usually at his best when the run is clicking. The big news for the Rams is that the extra time off now has wide receiver Danny Amendola healthy enough to play after breaking his clavicle in Week 5, and he was leading the NFL in receptions with 32 in four games when he went down. Look for Amendola to be the recipient of many quick passes from the slot as quarterback Sam Bradford looks to beat the great San Francisco pass rush.Houston Texans, Chicago Bears ‘under’ 41 (-117): This is one of the more marquee matchups in the NFL this season based on the records of the teams. So which team will go to 8-1 and which will fall to 7-2 when this contest is over? Frankly, that can be debated wither way, but one thing that we are fairly certain of is that both defenses should dictate what happens in this game. The Bears rank second in the NFL in scoring defense at 15.0 points per game, and they rank sixth in total defense at 318.1 yards per contest. Furthermore, it seems that most of the points and yards that Chicago has given up have come in garbage time with a safe lead, such as Chris Johnson of the Tennessee Titans scoring on an 80-yard touchdown run last week with the Bears leading 51-12 at the time. The strength of the Bears is run defense, and if they can contain Arian Foster, it would make the Houston offense less effective. The Texans’ defense is not to be scoffed at either is it is tied for third in scoring defense at 17.1 points and is also ranked third in total defense at a scant 286.1 yards. Moreover, the Chicago offense has not really been that difficult to stop this year with the Bears ranking a mere 25th in total offense at 324.4 yards per game. The only reason that Chicago is averaging 29.5 points is because it amazingly has eight defensive touchdowns in eight games, which cannot be counted on to continue.
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