Scott Diamond has been a bright spot in an otherwise dismal season for the Twins, while Jake Peavy of the White Sox is coming off of a couple of solid outings and has been lights out vs. the Twins lately. Go ‘under’ on Sunday.
Look for a good old fashioned pitchers’ duel on Sunday afternoon when Jake Peavy and the Chicago White Sox (78-66 overall, 36-35 away) take on Scott Diamond and the Minnesota Twins (60-86 overall, 29-45 home) in the final game of a three-game weekend series from Target Field in Minneapolis, MN at 2:10 ET.
The posted total at 5 Dimes is 9 for this contest with the current odds on the ‘under’ set at -120.
The White Sox have resiliently held off the preseason favorites to win the American League Central, the Detroit Tigers, so far as they lead the division by one game over Detroit despite losing eight of their last nine head-to-head meetings vs. the Tigers.
Luckily, the White Sox have made some headway vs. the rest of the division, such as winning the first two games of this series here in Minnesota by scores of 6-0 and 5-3 respectively. Both of those games stayed ‘under’ the total, which has continued a pattern that had now seen the ‘under’ go 6-1 in the last seven meetings between these teams.
We like the chances of that trend continuing on Sunday given this pitching matchup. Sure, Peavy has had an uneven season as he looked to have regained his Cy Young Award form from five years ago over the first couple of months before reverting back to the pitcher that has never been the same since leaving San Diego, and the end result is a modest 10-11 record, although he does still have a very good 3.27 ERA and 1.12 WHIP, so he has still pitched better than recent years.
In fact, Peavy has now allowed three earned runs or less in eight of his last nine starts, including allowing two earned runs or less in five of those outings. Not all of those efforts were Quality Starts though, such as his last start vs. the Tigers on Tuesday when he allowed three runs on six hit but only lasted 5.2 innings while requiring 117 pitches, although to his credit he did record nine strikeouts.
Peavy must love seeing the Twins in the opposing dugout today also, as he has faced Minnesota four times this season and has a 2.08 ERA against them with 24 strikeouts vs. just six walks in 26 innings. Going back to last season, Peavy has now posted five straight Quality Starts vs. Minnesota while allowing one earned run or less in four or them!
Peavy does have a formidable mound opponent today in Diamond however. Keeping in mind that he is pitching for a team that is 26 games under 500, Diamond has managed to go 11-7 with a nice 3.46 ERA, and his Sabremetrics are extremely favorable as he has a 3.86 FIP and a very good 2.4 WAR.
Granted Diamond was not his sharpest the last time he faced the White Sox, allowing four runs on seven hits in five innings, but he had posted Quality Starts in his first two outings against the White Sox this season and he also allowed three runs or less in each of his two starts against them last year.
Thus, look for the recent ‘under’ pattern between these clubs to continue for at least one more game on Sunday.
The posted total at 5 Dimes is 9 for this contest with the current odds on the ‘under’ set at -120.
The White Sox have resiliently held off the preseason favorites to win the American League Central, the Detroit Tigers, so far as they lead the division by one game over Detroit despite losing eight of their last nine head-to-head meetings vs. the Tigers.Luckily, the White Sox have made some headway vs. the rest of the division, such as winning the first two games of this series here in Minnesota by scores of 6-0 and 5-3 respectively. Both of those games stayed ‘under’ the total, which has continued a pattern that had now seen the ‘under’ go 6-1 in the last seven meetings between these teams.
We like the chances of that trend continuing on Sunday given this pitching matchup. Sure, Peavy has had an uneven season as he looked to have regained his Cy Young Award form from five years ago over the first couple of months before reverting back to the pitcher that has never been the same since leaving San Diego, and the end result is a modest 10-11 record, although he does still have a very good 3.27 ERA and 1.12 WHIP, so he has still pitched better than recent years.
In fact, Peavy has now allowed three earned runs or less in eight of his last nine starts, including allowing two earned runs or less in five of those outings. Not all of those efforts were Quality Starts though, such as his last start vs. the Tigers on Tuesday when he allowed three runs on six hit but only lasted 5.2 innings while requiring 117 pitches, although to his credit he did record nine strikeouts.
Peavy must love seeing the Twins in the opposing dugout today also, as he has faced Minnesota four times this season and has a 2.08 ERA against them with 24 strikeouts vs. just six walks in 26 innings. Going back to last season, Peavy has now posted five straight Quality Starts vs. Minnesota while allowing one earned run or less in four or them!
Peavy does have a formidable mound opponent today in Diamond however. Keeping in mind that he is pitching for a team that is 26 games under 500, Diamond has managed to go 11-7 with a nice 3.46 ERA, and his Sabremetrics are extremely favorable as he has a 3.86 FIP and a very good 2.4 WAR.
Granted Diamond was not his sharpest the last time he faced the White Sox, allowing four runs on seven hits in five innings, but he had posted Quality Starts in his first two outings against the White Sox this season and he also allowed three runs or less in each of his two starts against them last year.
Thus, look for the recent ‘under’ pattern between these clubs to continue for at least one more game on Sunday.
MLB Pick: White Sox, Twins ‘under’ 9 (-120) ---
Комментариев нет:
Отправить комментарий