While the Dodgers are struggling mightily on offense, their starter Chris Capuano has similar numbers to Cincinnati’s Johnny Cueto and the Reds have had trouble with lefties on the road. Take the Dodgers as home dogs Tuesday.
There could be nice upset in store on Tuesday night when Johnny Cueto and the Cincinnati Reds (44-35 overall, 21-19 away) take on Chris Capuano and the Los Angeles Dodgers (44-37 overall, 25-16 home) as the teams play the second games of a three-game series from Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA at 10:10 ET.
The money line at Bodog has Los Angeles as a decided home underdog for this contest at current odds of +125.
Much has been made of the fact that the Dodgers have been unable to hit their way out of a paper bag as of late, as well as the popular opinion that Cueto was a notable All-Star Game snub. However, what have not been as highly publicized are the facts that Capuano actually has comparable numbers to Cueto this season and is showing no signs of tailing off, and that the Reds have been struggling offensively themselves vs. left-handed pitchers on the road.
We feel that those factors combine to give Los Angeles good value as a decided home underdog tonight. After all, for all of their trouble scoring runs lately, the Dodgers are still in second place in the National League West Division and only 1½ games behind the San Francisco Giants. They also managed to score 10 runs the last two nights after scoring a total of five runs in their previous seven games including five shutouts.
Capuano is quietly having a fine year for the Los Angeles, and it looks like those waiting for the southpaw to regress will have to wait a while longer. Capuano is a surprising 9-3 with a 2.69 ERA and 1.10 WHIP with the league hitting .219 off of him, and he has a good ratio of 89 strikeouts against only 31 walks in 100.1 innings.
Although Capuano suffered his first loss in four weeks 3-2 vs. the New York Mets on Thursday, he was not to blame as he allowed three runs or less for the fourth consecutive start while allowing just five hits and not walking a single batter through seven innings. Moreover, that was his first loss at home this year, where he is 5-1 with a stellar 1.87 ERA and 1.00 WHIP.
He is facing a Cincinnati lineup here that has simply not hit as well when playing away from the launching pad known as Great American Ball Park, as the Reds are batting a modest .236 on the road including a dismal .216 vs. left-handed pitchers.
Now do not get is wrong as Cueto is All-Star worthy at 9-4 with a 2.26 ERA and 1.14 WHIP overall, and he has 79 strikeouts vs. 25 walks in 107.2 innings. However, as you can see, those numbers are not in reality that much different than Capuano’s numbers this season and the .246 batting average that Cueto is allowing is considerably higher. Those numbers certainly don’t merit the Reds being favored by this much on the road with their own problems vs. southpaws.
Cueto allowed only two earned runs in six innings vs. the San Francisco Giants last time out, but he was outpitched by lefty Madison Bumgarner in the 5-0 loss. He may suffer a similar fate here tonight, pitching well but not quite well enough with the Reds struggling to score runs vs. a good southpaw.
Thus, this is a spot where the widely reported difficulty the Dodgers have had scoring runs actually serves to make them undervalued at home in a spot where their pitcher can also shut down the opposing offense. Therefore, take the Dodgers as decided underdogs on Tuesday.
The money line at Bodog has Los Angeles as a decided home underdog for this contest at current odds of +125.
Much has been made of the fact that the Dodgers have been unable to hit their way out of a paper bag as of late, as well as the popular opinion that Cueto was a notable All-Star Game snub. However, what have not been as highly publicized are the facts that Capuano actually has comparable numbers to Cueto this season and is showing no signs of tailing off, and that the Reds have been struggling offensively themselves vs. left-handed pitchers on the road.We feel that those factors combine to give Los Angeles good value as a decided home underdog tonight. After all, for all of their trouble scoring runs lately, the Dodgers are still in second place in the National League West Division and only 1½ games behind the San Francisco Giants. They also managed to score 10 runs the last two nights after scoring a total of five runs in their previous seven games including five shutouts.
Capuano is quietly having a fine year for the Los Angeles, and it looks like those waiting for the southpaw to regress will have to wait a while longer. Capuano is a surprising 9-3 with a 2.69 ERA and 1.10 WHIP with the league hitting .219 off of him, and he has a good ratio of 89 strikeouts against only 31 walks in 100.1 innings.
Although Capuano suffered his first loss in four weeks 3-2 vs. the New York Mets on Thursday, he was not to blame as he allowed three runs or less for the fourth consecutive start while allowing just five hits and not walking a single batter through seven innings. Moreover, that was his first loss at home this year, where he is 5-1 with a stellar 1.87 ERA and 1.00 WHIP.
He is facing a Cincinnati lineup here that has simply not hit as well when playing away from the launching pad known as Great American Ball Park, as the Reds are batting a modest .236 on the road including a dismal .216 vs. left-handed pitchers.
Now do not get is wrong as Cueto is All-Star worthy at 9-4 with a 2.26 ERA and 1.14 WHIP overall, and he has 79 strikeouts vs. 25 walks in 107.2 innings. However, as you can see, those numbers are not in reality that much different than Capuano’s numbers this season and the .246 batting average that Cueto is allowing is considerably higher. Those numbers certainly don’t merit the Reds being favored by this much on the road with their own problems vs. southpaws.
Cueto allowed only two earned runs in six innings vs. the San Francisco Giants last time out, but he was outpitched by lefty Madison Bumgarner in the 5-0 loss. He may suffer a similar fate here tonight, pitching well but not quite well enough with the Reds struggling to score runs vs. a good southpaw.
Thus, this is a spot where the widely reported difficulty the Dodgers have had scoring runs actually serves to make them undervalued at home in a spot where their pitcher can also shut down the opposing offense. Therefore, take the Dodgers as decided underdogs on Tuesday.
Dodgers +125 +++
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