понедельник, 14 мая 2012 г.

Rounding the bases: This week's best MLB bets

Every week, we update you on who's hot, who's not and situational betting spots in Major League Baseball (All records and statistics through Saturday):
 
HOT TEAM: Oakland Athletics

THIS SEASON: 18-16
LAST WEEK: 4-2

THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: At the Angels for two, at the Rangers for two, at the Giants for three.

THE SKINNY: It was good news, bad news for the Athletics on Saturday. Oakland outlasted Detroit, 3-1, backed by a strong outing from starter Brandon McCarthy. It was their seventh win in last 10 tries. But the Athletics also lost cleanup hitter Yoenis Cespedes to the disabled list. Cespedes has a strained muscle in his left hand, and will be missed. 

The A’s have been underdogs in each of their last 10 games, so this hot streak is really padding the wallets of Oakland backers. You’d be up 6.32 units if you bet the Athletics in each of their last 10 contests.
 
COLD TEAM: Tampa Bay Rays

THIS SEASON: 20-14
LAST WEEK: 1-5

THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: At the Blue Jays for two, home to the Red Sox for two, home to the Braves for three.

THE SKINNY: The AL East is shaping up to be one unique race this season. Teams are flip-flopped. Injuries to key players have taken a toll. And overall, there's just a new feeling that everyone's in it. The Rays play into that. 

Tampa Bay committed five errors in a 5-3 loss to the Orioles on Saturday, and on Friday, the club allowed three home runs en route to a 4-3 defeat to Baltimore. Not good. The offense has been light, too. First baseman Carlos Pena was given the day off Saturday to figure things out. He entered later as pinch hitter, went 0-for-1, and began Mother's Day 3-for-36 with 13 strikeouts in the month.
 
OVER TEAM: Milwaukee Brewers


O/U THIS SEASON: 20-12-1    
O/U LAST WEEK: 4-2

THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: At the Mets for two, at the Astros for two, home to the Twins for three.

THE SKINNY: Saturday was a microcosm of Milwaukee's new-look lineup. With fewer big boppers in there, the Brewers need a little bit from a lot of people. And so far, they've been getting it. In an 8-2 win over the Cubs, Milwaukee pounded out 13 hits from nine different players, including starting pitcher Shaun Marcum. 

It's that kind of balance that is a perfect recipe for overs, and Milwaukee appears like it will be one of the stronger over teams the rest of the way. The Brewers entered Sunday's game versus Chicago with three overs in the last four games, and they had five players -- Ryan Braun (21), Aramis Ramirez (19), Corey Hart (16), Jonathan Lucroy (16), and Alex Gonzalez (15) -- with at least 15 RBIs. 

And after an offseason of discontent, Braun has been Braun again, sporting a .382 on-base percentage, a .644 slugging percentage, and a 1.026 OPS. You can do much worse than riding the Brewers’ over train these days.
 
UNDER TEAM: Chicago Cubs

O/U THIS SEASON: 14-18-1
O/U LAST WEEK: 2-4

THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: At the Cardinals for two, home to the Phillies for two, home to the White Sox for three.

THE SKINNY: The Cubs walked into Sunday’s series finale against Milwaukee with seven unders already cashed in May, and it’s been a collaborative effort. When the Cubs are stifled by strong pitching, their staff often cooperates right along. 

Last week, when they took two of three from Atlanta, for instance, was a perfect example. All three contests went under, and the finale was a 1-0 victory. That’s the sign of a good under team. It also helps when you have a lineup that if you take out Bryan LaHair and his eight home runs, there are only three other players -- Ian Stewart (3), Geovany Soto (3), and Joe Mather (2) -- with more than one longball. 

That’s not a lot of pop there, so take advantage of this team while you can. Consider the 29-year-old LaHair -- a good player with plenty of upside, but perhaps too inexperienced to carry an entire club -- has only 10 RBIs, folks. And he’s the team leader.

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