Madison Bumgarner of the Giants has hit a wall lately and is facing a Colorado offense that has been scoring runs of late, while San Francisco has hit the mediocre Jhoulys Chacin well this year, so go ‘over’ the low total Monday.
The very low posted total could be deceiving Monday night when Jhoulys Chacin and the Colorado Rockies (58-87 overall, 27-44 away) take on Madison Bumgarner and the San Francisco Giants (83-63 overall, 40-31 home) in the first game of a four-game series from AT&T Park in San Francisco, CA at 10:15 ET.
The posted total at 5 Dimes is 7 for this contest with the current odds on the ‘over’ set at a positive +103.
The Giants should be a very relaxed bunch these days as they appear well on their way to the National League West title, now sitting 7½ games ahead of the second place Los Angeles Dodgers and leading by eight games in the loss column wit 16 games remaining. They now have a nice chance of moving closer to clinching the division with four games vs. a last place Colorado team that is 24½ games behind.
San Francisco returns home from a successful 4-2 road trip, first winning two out of three games vs. these Rockies in Colorado and then duplicating that feat vs. the Diamondbacks in Arizona. That was proceeded by taking two out of three from the second place Dodgers in the last three games of the last home stand, as the Giants probably thwarted for good Los Angeles’s chances of winning the division.
Not all the news around San Francisco is rosy though, as there is concern about tonight’s starter Bumgarner. Yes, Bumgarner is still the Giants’ number-two pitcher after Matt Cain and the southpaw is 14-10 with a spiffy 3.32 ERA and 1.09 WHIP overall. However, he looks to be going through a “dead arm” stage right now.
Bumgarner has logged 192.2 innings thus far this year, putting him on pace to shatter his professional high at any level for innings pitched in a season, which was the 204.2 innings he threw last season. That workload may be taking its toll as Bumgarner has a 7.29 ERA and 1.95 WHIP while going 0-3 in his last four starts with not a single Quality Start among those outings.
His last start came against these Rockies in Colorado on Tuesday, where he was roughed up for five earned runs and 11 hits while only lasting 4.1 innings. Furthermore, the Colorado offense has continued to hit since that contest, as the Rockies just scored 21 runs in three games in San Diego vs. the Padres this past weekend.
Of course, the Rockies lost two of those three games to the Padres including a wild 12-11 loss on Sunday, which points to the difficulties of the Colorado pitching staff this year. The Rockies have an atrocious 5.15 ERA as a team and the starting pitchers have a cumulative 5.90 ERA.
Now Chacin spent amount three months on the Disabled List, but he has not done much when he has taken the mound, going 2-5 with a 4.86 ERA and 1.62 WHIP. Furthermore, he has had nearly identical stat lines in his two starts vs. the Giants in 2012, and they have not been good.
Chacin allowed four earned runs on six hits plus one walk in four innings against San Francisco on Tuesday, and that was after allowing four earned runs on four hits plus a distressing five walks in four innings vs. the Giants in April.
Frankly, we do not feel that the current form of these starters merits such a low total here, especially with the Giants also averaging 5.60 runs per game over their last five contests, so go ‘over’ on Monday.
The posted total at 5 Dimes is 7 for this contest with the current odds on the ‘over’ set at a positive +103.
The Giants should be a very relaxed bunch these days as they appear well on their way to the National League West title, now sitting 7½ games ahead of the second place Los Angeles Dodgers and leading by eight games in the loss column wit 16 games remaining. They now have a nice chance of moving closer to clinching the division with four games vs. a last place Colorado team that is 24½ games behind.San Francisco returns home from a successful 4-2 road trip, first winning two out of three games vs. these Rockies in Colorado and then duplicating that feat vs. the Diamondbacks in Arizona. That was proceeded by taking two out of three from the second place Dodgers in the last three games of the last home stand, as the Giants probably thwarted for good Los Angeles’s chances of winning the division.
Not all the news around San Francisco is rosy though, as there is concern about tonight’s starter Bumgarner. Yes, Bumgarner is still the Giants’ number-two pitcher after Matt Cain and the southpaw is 14-10 with a spiffy 3.32 ERA and 1.09 WHIP overall. However, he looks to be going through a “dead arm” stage right now.
Bumgarner has logged 192.2 innings thus far this year, putting him on pace to shatter his professional high at any level for innings pitched in a season, which was the 204.2 innings he threw last season. That workload may be taking its toll as Bumgarner has a 7.29 ERA and 1.95 WHIP while going 0-3 in his last four starts with not a single Quality Start among those outings.
His last start came against these Rockies in Colorado on Tuesday, where he was roughed up for five earned runs and 11 hits while only lasting 4.1 innings. Furthermore, the Colorado offense has continued to hit since that contest, as the Rockies just scored 21 runs in three games in San Diego vs. the Padres this past weekend.
Of course, the Rockies lost two of those three games to the Padres including a wild 12-11 loss on Sunday, which points to the difficulties of the Colorado pitching staff this year. The Rockies have an atrocious 5.15 ERA as a team and the starting pitchers have a cumulative 5.90 ERA.
Now Chacin spent amount three months on the Disabled List, but he has not done much when he has taken the mound, going 2-5 with a 4.86 ERA and 1.62 WHIP. Furthermore, he has had nearly identical stat lines in his two starts vs. the Giants in 2012, and they have not been good.
Chacin allowed four earned runs on six hits plus one walk in four innings against San Francisco on Tuesday, and that was after allowing four earned runs on four hits plus a distressing five walks in four innings vs. the Giants in April.
Frankly, we do not feel that the current form of these starters merits such a low total here, especially with the Giants also averaging 5.60 runs per game over their last five contests, so go ‘over’ on Monday.
MLB Pick: Rockies, Giants ‘over’ 7 (+103) ---
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