суббота, 24 марта 2012 г.

MLB : Baseball's best road bets


Taking care of business in your own ballpark is priority No. 1 for MLB clubs. But when it comes to baseball betting, winning on the road is where you make your real money. 

Finding teams that thrive in the role of visitor is a smart way to boost your bankroll, with the away side usually getting a discount on the moneyline.

Even big-name clubs like the Phillies and Tigers can earn a small fortune when they hit the highway, but these four clubs could put your kids through college if you bet them when they traveled last year.

New York Mets (43-38 on the road, 17.63 units)

According to recent financial reports, Citi Field could be the biggest money pit in the majors – especially if you were betting the Mets at home last season. New York was a brutal -18.66 units as a host but nearly made up for that with 17.63 units won as a guest. New York scored more than 54 percent of its total runs away from Citi Field.

The Mets finished five games over .500 on the road despite a 4.51 away ERA. Second-year righty Dillon Gee was a diamond in the rough, going 7-3 on the road but posting a chunky 5.74 road ERA. Gee could quickly become a under-the-radar starter to back this year. He's ironed out his mechanics and has looked sharp in spring training action.

Arizona Diamondback (43-38 on the road, 13.83 units)

The Diamondbacks posted an identical record on the road as the Mets but were actually a solid team, so their moneyline values weren’t bordering on +200 every time out. Arizona, which won even more money at home going 51-30 for 14.37 units, boasted a 3.73 ERA in enemy territory (compared to 3.86 at home).

That was enough to get over the offensive brownout away from home. The D-backs mustered only 331 runs outside of Chase Field, where they scored 400 runs – nearly five per game – in 2011. Righthander Ian Kennedy was responsible for the majority of those units, going 10-3 when toeing the opposing rubber.

Chicago White Sox (43-38 on the road, 10.32 units)

Maybe 43-38 is the magic number when it comes to betting road teams? The White Sox matched the Diamondbacks and Mets away from the South Side and made loyal Chitown backers a pretty penny in the process. Chicago was a horrific 36-45 at home and went more than 20 units in the hole.

The White Sox posted an identical batting average (.252) and ERA (4.10) at home and away, showing how a few favorable bounces - and moneylines - can make the difference for bettors. Mark Buehrle, along with some key bats, are gone but it was low-profile guys like Phillip Humber and Gavin Floyd who got the job done on the highway. Floyd is currently trade bait while Humber is nursing a nasty gash on his right thumb.

Tampa Bay Rays (44-37 on the road, 8.66 units)

The Rays would still be the most consistent value bet in baseball if they were playing on the moon. As long as Tampa Bay tangles with the Yankees and Red Sox every two weeks, bettors will find solid value in a playoff team and World Series contender. The Rays proved to be the better play away from the Sunshine State last season, posting 8.66 units as guests compared to just four 4.0 units as hosts.

The Rays went 7-2 in Fenway, priced as favorites only twice, and finished 12-6 versus Boston overall. They were just 3-6 in Yankee Stadium but split the season series with New York 9-9. Starter Jeff Niemann was the breadwinner for Tampa Bay last year, raking in 6.58 units thanks in part to an 8-2 record on the road. Niemann is currently battling Wade Davis for the fifth spot in the rotation.


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