понедельник, 30 января 2012 г.

NBA betting trend: Home court rules in the west

It was a head-scratcher to say the least. 

Missing two of their three leading scorers, the Milwaukee Bucks were getting 5.5 points against visiting Los Angeles Lakers. And even though the Purple and Gold had been struggling away from the Staples Center, no one expected Kobe and Co. to have any trouble blowing out the Bucks.

Final score: Bucks 100, Lakers 89.

The loss dropped Los Angeles’ road mark to 1-7 both straight up and against the spread. 

[Editor’s note: The Lakers won and covered at Minnesota as 2-point underdogs on Sunday but nearly choked away a 15-point third quarter lead.] 

And it’s not just the Lakers who are first degree fade material on the highway. Going into Sunday’s slate, Western Conference home teams are 92-66 ATS (58.2 percent) and just 63-73 ATS (45.9%) on the road, according to Covers Expert and database madman Marc Lawrence.

That’s a big change. The West, by far the better of the two conferences, went 324-278-13 ATS on the road last season and 313-292-10 ATS the campaign before.

Here’s a look at three other notable squads no-showing - like a Tony Soprano crew member - on the road.

San Antonio Spurs: (Home 7-4 ATS. Away 3-7 ATS)

It’s pretty simple with the Spurs. They just don’t play defense well outside of their own gym. San Antonio allows a stingy 89.5 points per game at home but 102.2 on the road. (That’s almost a 13-point swing for those of you counting at home).

Monday will be the Spurs’ seventh away game of their last nine contests. They play three home games following that Monday date against the Grizzlies and then leave town for nine straight away matchups.    

Portland Trail Blazers: (Home 8-1-1 ATS. Away 3-7 ATS)


The Rose Garden has always been kind to the Trail Blazers. Portland is 99-34 straight up on its home floor over the last four seasons. Year in and year out, you can bank on this team having more energy in front of the Blazer-maniacs then it does in alien arenas.

LaMarcus Aldridge brings his A-game regardless of area code but supporting members Gerald Wallace Wesley Matthews and Jamal Crawford see their combined offensive output drop to 30.2 ppg on the road compared to 49.6 at home.

Los Angeles Clippers: (Home 8-3 ATS. Away 1-4 ATS)

OK, sure, small sample size especially when you consider one of those five roadies was actually against the Lakers at the Staples Center. Still they got smoked at San Antonio, Portland and Utah. 

Lob City, despite its aerial moniker, doesn’t travel well.  






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